All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invite |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Duke Meyer Invitational |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Columbus North Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/17 |
9/21 |
9/27 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
Team Rating |
392 |
370 |
359 |
407 |
379 |
477 |
371 |
404 |
487 |
|
Team Adjusted Rating | |
370 |
359 |
407 |
379 |
477 |
371 |
404 |
487 |
|
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Big Blue Invite |
South Dearborn Invitational |
Duke Meyer Invitational |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Columbus North Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
57 |
Carter Leak |
12 |
16:23 |
16:20 |
16:20 |
16:20 |
16:20 |
16:37 |
16:32 |
16:21 |
16:27 |
16:32 |
100 |
Gavin Hendrix |
11 |
16:36 |
16:43 |
16:37 |
17:33 |
16:55 |
17:11 |
16:34 |
16:49 |
16:24 |
16:43 |
161 |
Lane Elsner |
10 |
16:51 |
16:53 |
16:34 |
16:36 |
16:37 |
16:52 |
17:02 |
16:45 |
17:52 |
|
343 |
Drew Stroud |
11 |
17:18 |
16:55 |
17:11 |
18:00 |
17:11 |
17:37 |
17:08 |
17:26 |
17:14 |
|
481 |
AJ Siener |
12 |
17:33 |
17:35 |
17:31 |
17:17 |
17:28 |
17:39 |
17:15 |
17:31 |
18:24 |
|
724 |
Ian Campbell |
10 |
17:54 |
18:11 |
17:48 |
17:44 |
18:13 |
17:46 |
17:39 |
17:52 |
18:08 |
|
748 |
Jason Gasper |
12 |
17:57 |
17:39 |
18:12 |
17:09 |
19:06 |
17:55 |
|
|
|
|
822 |
Logan Mcintosh |
10 |
18:03 |
18:10 |
18:22 |
18:13 |
17:49 |
18:02 |
17:57 |
18:11 |
17:56 |
|
983 |
Jenn Rameriz |
12 |
18:16 |
18:27 |
18:12 |
17:49 |
18:21 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
1,017 |
Eli Wahlman |
9 |
18:19 |
18:35 |
18:20 |
18:00 |
18:19 |
18:21 |
|
|
|
|
1,036 |
Aidan Ernstes |
10 |
18:20 |
18:16 |
17:58 |
18:19 |
18:36 |
18:31 |
|
|
|
|
1,321 |
Noah McFall |
9 |
18:40 |
18:57 |
18:30 |
18:49 |
18:28 |
18:45 |
|
|
|
|
1,527 |
Eddie Ray |
9 |
18:54 |
19:30 |
18:33 |
18:26 |
19:05 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
|
1,563 |
Brenden Baker |
10 |
18:56 |
|
18:24 |
19:14 |
19:07 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
80.3% |
19.8 |
453 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
8.5 |
9.7 |
11.1 |
11.3 |
10.1 |
6.2 |
Semi-State |
100% |
5.4 |
174 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
7.2 |
17.3 |
26.5 |
28.9 |
13.0 |
5.3 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
2.1 |
57 |
0.6 |
87.5 |
12.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
26 |
88.2 |
11.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Carter Leak |
97.5% |
58.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
87.1% |
96.8% |
Gavin Hendrix |
86.0% |
85.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
28.9% |
70.0% |
Lane Elsner |
80.7% |
118.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.0% |
25.4% |
Drew Stroud |
80.3% |
170.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
AJ Siener |
80.3% |
187.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Ian Campbell |
80.3% |
200.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Jason Gasper |
80.3% |
201.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Carter Leak |
100% |
10.6 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
8.0 |
6.5 |
7.5 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
Gavin Hendrix |
100% |
19.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
Lane Elsner |
100% |
33.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
Drew Stroud |
100% |
67.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
AJ Siener |
100% |
89.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.0% |
Ian Campbell |
100% |
119.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.2% |
Jason Gasper |
100% |
123.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62.2% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Carter Leak |
100% |
3.1 |
4.3 |
20.2 |
24.5 |
19.6 |
13.6 |
7.3 |
5.0 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Gavin Hendrix |
100% |
6.1 |
|
1.8 |
5.8 |
10.3 |
15.4 |
15.2 |
12.7 |
11.8 |
10.6 |
7.0 |
4.7 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Lane Elsner |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
|
0.6 |
1.7 |
4.0 |
7.0 |
8.8 |
10.1 |
14.4 |
13.3 |
13.9 |
11.3 |
7.7 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Drew Stroud |
100% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
3.0 |
7.2 |
9.9 |
13.9 |
15.4 |
12.0 |
11.1 |
8.5 |
6.3 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
AJ Siener |
100% |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
3.7 |
5.7 |
8.8 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
9.9 |
10.9 |
9.3 |
7.6 |
|
100.0% |
Ian Campbell |
100% |
30.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
|
100.0% |
Jason Gasper |
100% |
31.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Carter Leak |
1.0 |
60.5 |
31.3 |
7.3 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gavin Hendrix |
2.4 |
3.6 |
29.3 |
47.4 |
17.4 |
2.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lane Elsner |
4.0 |
|
1.3 |
9.0 |
40.8 |
43.4 |
4.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Drew Stroud |
6.4 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
4.5 |
35.9 |
22.4 |
14.6 |
11.4 |
6.9 |
2.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AJ Siener |
9.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
8.8 |
13.8 |
16.3 |
18.3 |
18.6 |
10.8 |
5.8 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ian Campbell |
14.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
4.6 |
9.2 |
11.9 |
13.8 |
13.2 |
13.4 |
10.0 |
8.2 |
6.3 |
3.9 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
Jason Gasper |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
2.7 |
5.9 |
9.8 |
12.7 |
12.7 |
12.6 |
13.2 |
11.7 |
7.5 |
5.7 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|